ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND SOLAR POWER TO WITNESS GROWTH BY 2020

A recent report indicates that demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and solar power will reach a peak by the year 2020. Just take a look at this recent article by Forbes here. Robert Rapier states “The 70% year-over-year increase in monthly sales continued the strong momentum from 2016”. The electric car has seen tremendous growth over the past decade. Growing from a half a dozen models to over 35 models. This reflects the growth in the renewable energy industry as a whole.

With the recent election, energy has been a hot topic for debate. Some think the renewable energy industry is being threatened by new incentives to maintain and grow the fossil fuel industry. However, a recent poll taken by Gallup shows 73% of American still prioritize alternative sources of energy over oil and gas.

GROWTH OF ALTERNATIVE FUEL INDUSTRY

In a report titled “Expect the Unexpected: The Disruptive Power of Low-Carbon Technology” claims that well-known organizations in the energy sector are overlooking the high speed with which the technologies related to low-carbon emissions are advancing. The report further feels that it is high time for these companies to change their modus operandi.

The demand for electric vehicles continues to reach highs. Therefore, the country will see a reduced the demand for crude oil by about two million barrels every day by 2025. As far as statistics goes, the market for the electric vehicles is growing by about 60 percent year-on-year. Just last years over 540 thousand EVs were solar in the United States.

AFFORDABLE ELECTRIC VEHICLES

According to Carbon Tracker, the prices of Electric Vehicles will be less than traditional internal combustion engines. By 2030, the sector may have one-fifth of the total road transport. Leader EV companies like Tesla are releasing new electrical vehicles at more reasonable price points. Like the Model 3, scheduled to deliver in 2018. And if you include the sale of the electric/petrol hybrids and hydrogen cars along with conventional ICEs, the combined figure will be less than 50 percent of the market. It is also expected that the Electric Vehicles could occupy about 69 percent of the transport market by 2050. On the other hand, ICEs may have just a share of 12 percent.

Vehicle driving

Tesla Model 3 – Set to deliver in 2018

There could be a displacement of 25 million bps of oil as compared to the continuous increase in the demand for oil expected by the industry. Carbon Tracker has also claimed that in 2040, the supply of solar PV will contribute to about 23 percent of power generation globally. The figure may become 29 percent by 2050. This indicates that the demand for coal could be entirely phased out and natural gas may have a market share of just 1 percent.

WHY DEMAND FOR SOLAR PV HAS GONE UP?

What has worked in favor of solar PV is that its cost has come down by 85 percent in 7 years. One study indicates that solar PV will be much cheaper as compared to fossil fuel on a global scale. A senior researcher of Carbon Tracker, Luke Sussams has added that both solar power and electric vehicles are real game changers.

The authors of the report mentioned that the speed at which technological changes’ occur indicates that Electric Vehicles and PV could snatch 10 percent of the market share within just a decade. Though it may not seem to be a big figure now, it marks the beginning of the down fall in demand for fossil fuel.

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NET ENERGY METERING 3.0 INFORMATION

Net Energy Metering 3.0 (NEM 3.0) is the incoming law created by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC). The new tariffs and fees will impact both residential and commercial solar systems built in California. 

As this notice is posted in November of 2022, the Proposed Decision from the CPUC outlining the proposed NEM 3.0 terms is expected soon. This comes after a year’s delay. Once the new agreement is finalized and passed into law, there will exist a designation of the deadline under which new systems will continue to qualify for NEM 2.0 rates. 

The new NEM 3.0 rates will be designed to lower the value of electricity during the daytime hours, when solar is producing, and increase the value of electricity during the evening hours, when solar homes and businesses purchase electricity. In short, NEM 3.0 will create a “sell low, buy high” proposition to new solar system owners. 

To Californians looking to install a solar system on their home or commercial building, the NEM 2.0 rates will be preferred. As of this post, the solar industry does not know the details of how different the NEM 3.0 rates will be from the NEM 2.0 rates. 

Please use the HES Solar website as a resource to learn more, and please take our offer to speak with an HES Solar Energy Consultant at no obligation.

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Robert Laverty

Senior Energy Consultant, Residential

Robert Laverty joined the HES team in the summer of 2018, bringing his ten years of solar design experience and his Bachelor’s degree from the University of Puget Sound with him. Robert is dedicated to finding solutions to help families produce and store electricity in order to reduce their reliance on grid power as well as help reduce their household’s carbon footprint. Robert’s experience as a newspaper editor as well as his involvement with the sustainability-focused Rocky Mountain Institute drives him to constantly seek out innovative ways to meet energy needs through renewable resources as well as helps him share those ideas with Southern California homeowners. When not at work or volunteering time with his church or community, Robert spends time with his wife and two sons or pursues his passion of fly fishing.
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